Jun. 19, 2015, 10:43 AM
Last week, we pointed out
that railcar traffic — the one indicator Warren Buffett would want on a
desert island to tell how the economy is doing — is the weekly
indicator most connected to quarterly GDP.
Well, this week's numbers don't make staying on the island look too bad.
Railcar traffic was down 1.9% during the week ending June 13 from the same week in 2014, according to the report from the Association of American Railroads.
Carloads, which according to the Department of Transportation
transport bulk commodities like coal and agricultural products, shrank
8.1% compared to this week last year and are down 3.4% year to date. The
biggest drop off came from energy products, coal especially, which
echoes the current difficulties of that industry.
Intermodals, which the DOT says transport all sorts of finished
products from bicycles to greeting cards, went up compared to last year
and are up in 2015. But it was not enough to offset the carload losses.
This week's losses were less than last week, when the decrease was
2.1%, and the total numbers have improved over May but still show a
slower 2015